Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.329271 0.383837 0.444805 0.518014 0.603596 0.700556 0.818861
2025-01-19 0.242658 0.313957 0.402422 0.520447 0.674121 0.867910 1.131624
2025-01-26 0.206135 0.286444 0.393516 0.547124 0.762618 1.055348 1.485248
2025-02-02 0.181005 0.266567 0.387519 0.571652 0.846254 1.242795 1.862942
2025-02-09 0.160141 0.247939 0.378478 0.587678 0.916643 1.417608 2.245208
2025-02-16 0.141401 0.228869 0.364886 0.593072 0.969284 1.570093 2.612689
2025-02-23 0.124479 0.209749 0.347850 0.589370 1.005093 1.698414 2.956898
2025-03-02 0.108111 0.188994 0.324955 0.571976 1.014332 1.782092 3.234733
2025-03-09 0.100082 0.181185 0.322433 0.588563 1.083503 1.975946 3.733033
2025-03-16 0.090982 0.170163 0.312690 0.590505 1.125765 2.126024 4.170300
2025-03-23 0.084378 0.162781 0.308410 0.601624 1.185958 2.315910 4.709418
2025-03-30 0.075865 0.150653 0.293707 0.590600 1.201288 2.420696 5.092085
2025-04-06 0.068768 0.140584 0.282065 0.584793 1.227659 2.553552 5.558732
2025-04-13 0.063372 0.133294 0.275086 0.587710 1.272744 2.731372 6.150254
2025-04-20 0.061166 0.132314 0.280769 0.617918 1.379969 3.054631 7.112793
2025-04-27 0.058867 0.130819 0.285125 0.645699 1.485442 3.387942 8.149117
2025-05-04 0.055938 0.127555 0.285222 0.663852 1.571302 3.688244 9.152756
2025-05-11 0.052361 0.122369 0.280405 0.669963 1.629598 3.931961 10.054528
2025-05-18 0.048416 0.115841 0.271739 0.665769 1.662337 4.118605 10.840059
2025-05-25 0.043873 0.107342 0.257471 0.646065 1.653859 4.202415 11.369570
2025-06-01 0.042094 0.105365 0.258554 0.664855 1.746023 4.553141 12.672222
2025-06-08 0.039508 0.101061 0.253429 0.667055 1.795045 4.798356 13.721257
2025-06-15 0.037686 0.098489 0.252327 0.679651 1.873636 5.132906 15.077674